"Intercept" is a new effort to end respiratory disease, see https:// www.technologyreview.com/2026/06/24/1139621/stripe-anthropic-and-openai-are-backing-an-effort-to-stop-respiratory-infections/. Assuming no singularity or other Al-initiated major disruption to the current course of history, what are the chances that the frequency of the common cold in the US is less than half the current rate, in 2040?